Climate Change Library
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f. Risk and Uncertainty
Glacier and Snowcap Loss, Rising Seas This publication is a great resource for coral reef and other tropical marine
ecosystem managers, policy makers, conservation practitioners,
academics,
business and other resource user communities, government employees, reef
users
and scientists in tropical coastal regions.
It presents an a framework for understanding the vulnerab ...
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From the Abstract:
"The present study extends earlier research by presenting the results of a new
and updated version of the RICE model (Regional Integrated model of
Climate and the Economy), labeled the RICE-2009 model. The model is a
regionalized, dynamic model that incorporates an end-to-end treatment of
economic growth, emissions, cl ...
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From the Abstract: “Although policymaking in response to the climate change is essentially a challenge of risk management, most studies of the relation of emissions targets to desired climate outcomes are either deterministic or subject to a limited representation of the underlying uncertainties. Monte Carlo simulation, applied to the MIT Integra ...
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Second of two articles. Addresses new technology risks and their management, both for rising seas and other aspects of climate change, but turns more to managing the the uncertainties inherent in introducing new technologies. Argues that "To ignore price signals sent by the insurance industry is to risk deployment of unsustainable or inefficient te ...
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The first of two papers on how risk management practices can turn the unknown nrisks and threats of rising seas into manageable economic events. Stresses that insurance underwriting helps define the costs of rising seas and thus creates more incentive for managing those potentially controllable costs. Cites existing global agreements, regional comp ...
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While a lot has been written about California's efforts to address climate change and potential economic gains, there has been limited economic analysis of the state's climate risk. This report addresses the impact of climate change if the state continues business-as-usual economic activity and the costs of the adaptation needed to cope with unavoi ...
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"This report presents 24 indicators, each describing trends
related to the causes and effects of climate change. The report focuses
primarily on the United States, but in some cases global trends are presented to
provide context or a basis for comparison. It aims to collect data and generate
analyses to: (i) monitor the effects/impact ...
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This review of 400 major scientific contributions to our understanding of climate change and earth systems discusses findings from the International Polar Year as well as new technologies that enable us to understand earth systems in new ways. Unexpected rates of change in Arctic sea ice extent, ocean acidification and species loss underscore th ...
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Research published on climate change since the deadline for the assessment report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reveals that global warming is accelerating, at times far beyond IPCC 2007 forecasts.
This summary presents some sobering facts, some even dire predictions, regarding the Europen Unioin and the accelera ...
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Although this document focuses on the German strategies for adapting to climate change, the information presented is pertinent to the entire developed world, emphasizing that climate change is already changing the way we live and will have far-reaching consequences for the natural environment, human societies and the global economy if not properl ...
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From the document:
"This Perspective Document is part of a series of 16 papers on Water and Climate Change Adaptation."
"'Climate change and adaptation’ is a central topic on the 5th World Water Forum. It is the lead theme for the political and thematic processes, the topic of a High Level Panel session, and a focus in several docume ...
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From the Abstract: "This CEPS Working Document reviews the potential impacts of climate change on
11 key indicator categories and 3 large regions covering the entire European
Union. Although there remains a considerable degree of uncertainty about local
and regional effects, the paper highlights strong distributional patterns.
Northern E ...
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This report provides an update on the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). The news is not necessarily good.
First, on the positive side, the science of climate change has made clear advances during the last three years, increasing the knowledge base and clarifying research questions, particularly in the areas of ocean acidification and E ...
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This is a must-read for planners, policy-makers, and those concerned about the impact of climate change on populations living in low-lying and coastal areas, and the frequency with which disasters are occurring, such as sea-born hazards liike storm surges, hurricanes and floods. Populations are often forced to find coping strategies, one of them ...
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From the Introduction: "The purpose of this report ‘The Ocean and Climate
Change – Tools and Guidelines for Action’ is to engage, inform and guide decision makers with regard to the development and implementation of marine and coastal climate change strategies and programmes."
"Despite its enormous importance in regulating global climate a ...
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The "social cost of carbon" (SCC) is not just a term coined by the media, but an actual value that can be arrived at by utilizing what amounts to a cost/benefit analysis; essentially weighing the cost of curbing emissions against the expected damages from every ton of carbon dioxide (CO2) that goes into the atmosphere.
While no exact formu ...
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