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f. Risk and Uncertainty
Forecasting Climate Changes Although this report primarily documents the effects of climate change to coastal areas in third world countries, it's findings and recommendations may be useful to managers of coastal areas in developed countries as well.
From the Introduction:
"In this publication we describe how managers, communities and (Adger 2006; Dessai and Hu ...
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"The belief that societies that conserve their forests are themselves the beneficiaries of their efforts is very deep rooted across the developed world. In support India is often cited as a country that achieved near zero deforestation in 1980s even when at the bottom of the countries on the development path. But perhaps India has paid a price for ...
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This report advocates for the consumer by examining the impacts of climate change on such things as property values, protection of property, repair costs in the event of a climate disaster, as well as the accompanying psychological distress. The most vulnerable will be low-income, the eldery and those with pre-existing medical conditions who w ...
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"Many decisions concerning long-lived investments need to take into account climate change. But doing so is not easy for at least two reasons. First, due to the rate of climate change, new infrastructure will have to be able to cope with a large range of changing climate conditions, which will make design more difficult and construction more expens ...
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Although this study examines the readiness of institutions in the UK to
initiate and build adaptive capacity, it's conclusions are pertinent to
other developed countries as well.
"This report explores the challenges facing institutions in adapting to climate
change by examining existing institutional arrangements for three exemplar ar ...
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The Expert Panel on Climate was convened to provide advice and help to the Ontario government to understand, prepare and plan for climate
change impacts. The panel met with senior level government
managers from 17 provincial ministries and government agencies.
"During these
meetings, the ministries and agencies outlined:
The ...
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This report discusses how barriers such as "market failures, behavioral failures, adaptive capacity, and natural capacity" affect adaptation decisions and policies. It goes on to state that the Government’s role should be one that supports people and businesses as they deal with these barriers, and then identifies the priorities for future reseach ...
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This is another policy brief from the National Council of The National Academies.
From the brief: "Much of the nation's experience to date in managing and protecting its people,
resources, and infrastructure is based on the historic record of climate
variability during a period of relatively stable climate. This report from the
Ameri ...
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This is another policy brief from The National Council of the National Academies.
As both experts and lay communities recognize that climate change is indeed taking place and posing serious risks and consequences for both natural systems and human society, the question has shifted from "What is happening?" to "How can we respond?". This p ...
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From the Report: "Article 2 of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change [United Nations (1992)...accessed February 9, 2009] commits signatory
nations to stabilizing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that 'would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference (DAI) with the climate system.' In an effort to ...
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This report concludes that the current studies of adaptation to climate change have deficiencies that require a more systematic and transparent approach. Further, a reexamination of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change estimates for 2030 costs and impacts suggests that a majority of studies are likely to be substantially un ...
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This link will take you to a page on the EPA website that has posted four two-page fact sheets
on climate change based on recent scientific data and findings. These documents
may be useful to state and local governments looking for public outreach
materials on climate change. The four new fact sheets are:
Climate
Change Sc ...
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The first of two papers on how risk management practices can turn the unknown nrisks and threats of rising seas into manageable economic events. Stresses that insurance underwriting helps define the costs of rising seas and thus creates more incentive for managing those potentially controllable costs. Cites existing global agreements, regional comp ...
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From the Abstract: "Policy-relevant results of Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) are sensitive to a number of uncertain assumptions that govern model simulation of the climate, society, and the policy response to climate change. Uncertainties remain in understanding of the rate and magnitude of climate change, the nature and severity of clim ...
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While a lot has been written about California's efforts to address climate change and potential economic gains, there has been limited economic analysis of the state's climate risk. This report addresses the impact of climate change if the state continues business-as-usual economic activity and the costs of the adaptation needed to cope with unavoi ...
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"This article addresses the problem of how to set caps for a cap-and-trade program, a key problem in pending legislation addressing global climate disruption. Previous scholarship on emissions trading programs focuses overwhelmingly on trading’s advantages and sometimes wrongly portrays environmental improvement as an
automatic byproduct of adop ...
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From the Summary: "This paper provides an overview of mitigation practices for the agricultural sector, and identifies relevant policies and measures (PAMs). It addresses the relative mitigation potential of each mitigation practice presented, as well as methodological and technical challenges, and possible barriers for their implementation." ...
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Water plays key roles in climate change and its effects on human societies. First, it is the lifeblood of the planet; second, it is the primary medium through which climate change influences earth's ecosystems, as well as all natural, social and economic systems and livelihoods. Water stress is already occurring around the planet and continuin ...
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From the Abstract:
"Climate change is already affecting Canada’s forests. Current visible effects include
changes in the frequency and severity of disturbances (such as fires, drought, severe
storms, and damaging insect and disease attacks): other less visible changes such as
change in the timing of spring bud burst are also underway. On ...
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